miércoles, julio 17, 2024
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TRANSFER ANALYSIS #7: Arkéa Samsic & Astana The Lack of Main GC Stars

Switch Evaluation: On this week’s installment of the Weekly Switch Evaluation, we’re breaking down the low season switch exercise of Arkéa Samsic and Astana, that are each dealing with the lack of main GC stars, Nairo Quintana and Miguel Ángel López, from the fallout of doping-related scandals and discover themselves on the doorstep of the 2023 season with none apparent backup choices.


– This text is an excerpt from the Past the Peloton e-newsletter. Enroll right here for full entry. –

The place to now for Nairo Quitana

Workforce Arkéa Samsic

  • Notable new signings: Luca Mozzato (B&B Accommodations), David Dekker (Jumbo), Clément Champoussin (AG2R)
  • Notable departing riders: Nairo Quintana (?), Connor Swift (Ineos)
  • Notable unsigned riders: N/A
  • Roster spots remaining: 0
  • Common age: 27.2
  • 2022 PCS Level End: 14th
  • Off-Season Professional Biking Stats Factors In/Out: +204

Luca Mozzato
Luca Mozzato coming from B&B Accommodations

The French workforce, who earned promotion up from the second division following strong showings over the previous three seasons 2021 and 2022, is within the unlucky place of coming into its first season within the WorldTour with out their largest star, Nairo Quintana, after they parted methods with him over the low season. Apparently, as a substitute of bolstering the squad with a high-profile signing to interchange Quintana’s manufacturing, they’ve caught to their pretty profitable ‘hodgepodge technique’ of including high quality, however not significantly high-profile, riders who are likely to out-perform their on-paper skills.

  • The additions of Luca Mozzato, who was considered one of B&B Accommodations’ prime riders and racked up 4 prime 3 finishes at Tour de France phases in 2022 whereas scoring sturdy outcomes all through the end-of-season one-day races, David Dekker, and Clément Champoussin suits the workforce’s profile of stacking their roster with riders who can constantly rack up UCI factors and be within the combine for stage wins at main grand excursions.
  • In the meantime, they restrict their losses to only two key riders, Connor Swift, whose manufacturing will be changed by the incoming expertise, and Nairo Quintana, who will undoubtedly be more durable to interchange.
  • There isn’t any option to sugarcoat the Quintana loss. The Colombian GC rider isn’t what he was in his prime, however nonetheless racked up 2,500 UCI factors over the past three seasons and propelled the workforce into the WorldTour together with his performances. To say he shall be missed could be an enormous understatement.
  • On one hand, the truth that the workforce is the one who initiated the contract termination following his constructive take a look at for Tramadol on the 2022 Tour de France, exhibits that administration should be no less than pretty assured there may be life after Quintana for the workforce. Additionally, their web constructive PCS factors circulation over the low season exhibits they’ve recovered from the lack of Quintana with out lacking a beat.
  • However, on the opposite, their constructive PCS circulation doesn’t inform the entire image and Arkéa will head into 2023 with one of many lowest expertise ceilings within the WorldTour. That is vital since their new WorldTour standing means they received’t have the identical assets to poach outcomes at lower-level races and their roster might very nicely discover itself much more uncovered because of a failure to considerably degree up their expertise pool over the low season.

LL Sánchez again to Astana

Astana Qazaqstan Workforce

  • Notable new signings: Luis León Sánchez (Bahrain)
  • Notable departing riders: Miguel Ángel López (?), Vincenzo Nibali (retired)
  • Notable unsigned riders: Sebastián Henao
  • Roster spots remaining: 1
  • Common age: 28.2
  • 2022 PCS Level End: twenty first
  • Off-Season Professional Biking Stats Factors In/Out: -705

Goodbye Miguel Ángel López

Alexander Vinokourov’s Kazakhstan government-funded workforce was dealing with tough prospects for the 2023 season because of a lackluster roster that hadn’t seen vital enhancements following a traditionally poor season, however the sudden firing of Miguel Ángel López because of his affiliation with the chief of an unlawful doping ring has left them with the worst adjusted PCS rating within the peloton and a surprisingly skinny roster to go together with it.

  • Maybe much more surprising than their separation from López has been their lack of urgency within the switch market, with the 39-year-old Luis León Sánchez their solely goal of be aware. Sanchez will deliver much-needed stability and, even at his superior age, a much-needed consistency in outcomes at main races, however it’s price noting he hasn’t received a WorldTour race in three seasons. This implies Astana can’t rely on him to generate much-needed wins and must lean on him to mentor younger expertise on the roster like U23 World Champion Yevgeniy Fedorov.
  • The outfit brings in a number of proficient kids, like 20-year-old Italian Gianmarco Garofoli, and with a strong historical past of recruiting and growing native skills like Alexey Lutsenko and the aforementioned Fedorov, it is a promising improvement. And one of many massive upsides of their roster missing vital headline depth and expertise is that these riders received’t get caught within the management queue and can get rapid expertise honing their race-winning capacity.
  • However, exterior of the potential silver lining talked about above, it will be tough to forged this low season, no less than to date, as something however the worst web switch efficiency of any skilled workforce because of Astana hemorrhaging factors from what was already the bottom level beginning spot.
  • Nonetheless, this poor efficiency might all change with the signing of Mark Cavendish and/or Nairo Quintana (regardless that they solely have a single roster spot remaining, the workforce might at all times shuffle a lesser rider again all the way down to their improvement workforce to make room).
    • Each superstars are at the moment out there and whereas they could favor a distinct touchdown spot, with time and WorldTour roster spots rapidly operating out, Astana presents a comparatively protected touchdown spot because of their 1st division standing giving them automated invites to the game’s largest races. Touchdown even considered one of these riders would salvage the workforce’s low season and provides them a much more constructive outlook heading into 2023.

It seems to be like Mark Cavendish shall be racing for Astana-Qazaqstan in 2023

# Spencer Martin is the creator of the cycling-analysis e-newsletter Past the Peloton that breaks down the nuances of every race and solutions massive image questions surrounding workforce and rider efficiency. Enroll now to get full entry to all of the out there content material and race breakdowns. #

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